Decision aid
Is the claim worth pursuing?
Not every claim is worth the fight. This weighs the expected value of pursuing (your realistic recovery, the likelihood of getting it, and what it costs to pursue) against any offer on the table. It is a structured way to think, not a prediction; the likelihood is your judgement.
Your honest assessment of the merits, the records and the forum.
Expected recovery
Less cost to pursue
Net expected value
Enter a recovery figure and the cost to pursue to see the expected value.
A decision aid, not a prediction or advice. “Expected value” is recovery × likelihood minus the cost to pursue. It spreads one uncertain outcome into an average, so a positive number is not a promise of recovery. It does not capture adverse-cost risk if you lose, the time value of money (money now versus money in two years), management distraction, or the commercial-relationship cost of a fight. Weigh those alongside the number. The likelihood input is your own judgement.
Want a senior read on the merits before you decide?
The honest input here is the likelihood, and that comes from a clear-eyed view of the contract, the records and the forum. That is exactly the view a confidential call gives you. No obligation.